Analisis Pengaruh Sektor Keuangan Syariah terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia (2014–2022): Studi Mendalam dengan Pendekatan VAR/VECM

Amarald Hasbullah Alhaq; Cupian Cupian

doi:10.61132/santri.v3i3.1391

Authors

Amarald Hasbullah Alhaq Universitas Padjadjaran
Cupian Cupian Universitas Padjadjaran

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.61132/santri.v3i3.1391

Keywords:

Islamic Finance Sector, Economic Growth, VECM, Indonesia GDP

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of the Islamic financial sector on economic growth in Indonesia during the period 2014–2022. The Islamic financial components examined include Islamic stocks, sukuk (Islamic bonds), Islamic mutual funds, third-party funds from Islamic banking, and assets of Islamic non-bank financial institutions (IKNB). Economic growth is measured using Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as the dependent variable. The analysis employs a quantitative approach using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), complemented by Impulse Response Function (IRF) and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) to assess both short-term and long-term relationships. The results reveal that Islamic stocks and sukuk have a significant and positive effect on GDP in both the short and long term. Third-party funds from Islamic banks also contribute positively in the long run, although their short-run impact is insignificant. Conversely, Islamic mutual funds and IKNB assets show no statistically significant influence on economic growth. These findings highlight the strategic importance of strengthening Islamic capital market instruments and improving financial intermediation to foster sustainable economic development in Indonesia.

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