Analisis Pengaruh Belanja Modal, Pengangguran dan IPM terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Provinsi Sumatera Barat
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.61132/jepi.v3i4.1946Keywords:
Capital Expenditure, Economic Growth, HDI, Unemployment, West SumatraAbstract
The economy of West Sumatra Province has shown a significant decline in recent years, with the lowest growth rate on the entire island of Sumatra. This study aims to examine the influence of capital expenditure, unemployment, and the Human Development Index on economic growth in this region between 2014 and 2024. Using multiple linear regression and data sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and the Directorate General of Fiscal Balance, the analysis shows that capital expenditure and unemployment have a significant negative impact on economic growth, while the Human Development Index (HDI) has no significant impact. Although capital expenditure varies, the decline in unemployment indicates a change in labor market conditions. This information indicates that government efforts to increase spending on infrastructure and public services are still ineffective in driving growth. Therefore, it is recommended that the government prioritize budget allocations in productive sectors such as infrastructure, tourism, and MSME development to help small businesses grow and advance through training, capital support, and technology implementation to ensure competitiveness and sustainability. Therefore, this study is expected to provide deeper insight into the elements that influence economic growth in West Sumatra and serve as a guide for further, more comprehensive research.
Downloads
References
Anisdar. (2018). Pengaruh indeks pembangunan manusia (IPM) terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kabupaten Aceh Timur. Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika, 2(1), 1–12.
Faizin, M. (2021). Pengaruh upah minimum, kemiskinan, dan pengangguran pada IPM di kabupaten/kota Provinsi Jawa Timur. Jurnal Samudra Ekonomi dan Bisnis, 12(2), 214–227. https://doi.org/10.33059/jseb.v12i2.3027
Hatta, R., & Khoirudin, R. (2020). Analisis tingkat kemiskinan di Provinsi NTT: Pendekatan data panel. Jurnal Samudra Ekonomi dan Bisnis, 11(2), 138–150. https://doi.org/10.33059/jseb.v11i2.2004
Kurniawan, P. C., Khilmiana, N., Arifin, S., & Maisaroh, A. (2023). Pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi dan pertumbuhan angkatan kerja terhadap tingkat pengangguran di Kota Pekalongan. Journal of Economic and Management (JECMA), 5(1), 95–103. https://doi.org/10.46772/jecma.v5i1.955
Maury, G. A., Kumenaung, A. G., & Naukoko, A. T. (2023). Pengaruh belanja modal dan tenaga kerja terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kabupaten Minahasa Tenggara. Jurnal Berkala Efisiensi, 23(4), 109–120.
Meilinna, T. Z., Alfunnuria, V. S., Safira, Y. E., & Kholid, M. K. A. (2023). Pengaruh usia harapan hidup, rata-rata lama sekolah, dan pengeluaran per kapita terhadap IPM. Jurnal Ekonomi, Bisnis dan Manajemen, 3(1), 12–29. https://doi.org/10.58192/ebismen.v3i1.1613
Mulyadi, M. (2016). Peran pemerintah dalam mengatasi pengangguran dan kemiskinan dalam masyarakat. Jurnal Kajian, 21(3), 221–236.
Nurlina, Ridha, A., Syahputra, R., & Muda, I. (2024). Impact of selected macroeconomic variables on poverty alleviation in Indonesia: Evidence from NARDL approach. Journal of Infrastructure, Policy and Development, 8(8), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd.v8i8.5166
Rarun, K., Kindangen, P., & Kawung, G. M. V. (2019). Analisis dampak belanja modal terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi dan angka kemiskinan kota-kota di Sulawesi Utara. Jurnal Pembangunan Ekonomi dan Keuangan Daerah, 20(1), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.35794/jpekd.23449.20.01.2019
Rianda, C. N. (2020). Analisis dampak pengangguran terhadap individu. At-Tasyri’: Jurnal Ilmiah Prodi Muamalah, 12(1), 17. https://doi.org/10.47498/tasyri.v12i01.358
Ridha, A., Nurjannah, & Mutia, R. (2021). Analisis permintaan uang di Indonesia: Pendekatan autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL). Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika, 5(2), 152–160. https://doi.org/10.33059/jse.v5i2.4273
Sejati, D. P. (2020). Pengangguran serta dampaknya terhadap pertumbuhan dan pembangunan ekonomi. Akselerasi: Jurnal Ilmiah Nasional, 2(3), 98–105. https://doi.org/10.54783/jin.v2i3.313
Septiatin, A. (2015). Dampak otonomi keuangan daerah terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia. Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan, 18(2), 183–206. https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v18i2.522
Wardiansyah, M., Yulmardi, & Bahri, Z. (2017). Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi tingkat pengangguran (Studi kasus provinsi-provinsi se-Sumatera). E-Jurnal Ekonomi Sumberdaya dan Lingkungan, 5(1), 13–18. https://doi.org/10.22437/jels.v5i1.3924
Widya, W., Fitri, E. A., Setiani, N., Ridha, A., & Asnidar. (2023). Pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi, pengangguran, dan IPM terhadap kemiskinan di Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Barat. Jurnal Manajemen dan Ekonomi Kreatif, 2(1), 167–186. https://doi.org/10.59024/jumek.v2i1.288
Yusuf, M. Z., Hidayati, N., Wibowo, M. G., & Khusniati, N. (2022). The effect of education and HDI on economic growth in the Special Region of Yogyakarta. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pendidikan, 19(1), 25–38. https://doi.org/10.21831/jep.v19i1.47963
Zahari, R. D., & Prabowo, P. S. (2022). Pengaruh kemiskinan dan pengangguran terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi wilayah Mataraman Provinsi Jawa Timur. Jurnal Dinamika Ekonomi Pembangunan, 5(2), 106–117. https://doi.org/10.33005/jdep.v5i2.402
Zulfa, A. (2016). Pengaruh pertumbuhan penduduk dan pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap tingkat pengangguran di Kota Lhokseumawe. Jurnal Visioner & Strategis, 5, 13–22.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
